• 2010 Senate Elections – Polling And Winner Forecasts by State

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    Polling and winner forecasts by state shown on chart and interactive tool.
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    2010 Senate Elections – Polling and Winner Forecasts by State
    Geography Candidates (D vs. R) Dem Rep Ind Mrg Win % Rating
    Alaska McAdams vs. Miller 27.5 32.1 32.5 I+0.4 40% Toss Up
    Alabama Barnes vs. Shelby 30.1 58.2 - R+28 95% Strong Rep
    Arizona Glassman vs. McCain 36.6 54.5 - R+18 95% Strong Rep
    Arkansas Lincoln vs. Boozman 37.6 54.9 - R+17 95% Strong Rep
    California Boxer vs. Fiorina 49 43.9 - D+5 88% Lean Dem
    Colorado Bennet vs. Buck 46.5 47.9 - R+1 72% Toss Up
    Connecticut Blumenthal vs. McMahon 53 43.8 - D+9 94% Strong Dem
    Delaware Coons vs. O’Donnell 53.4 39.1 - D+14 95% Strong Dem
    Florida Meek vs. Rubio 19.4 45.3 30.7 R+15 95% Strong Rep
    Georgia Thurmond vs. Isakson 34.2 56.4 - R+22 95% Strong Rep
    Hawaii Inouye vs. Cavasso 59.7 34.2 - D+26 95% Strong Dem
    Idaho Sullivan vs. Crapo 20.8 61.9 - R+41 95% Strong Rep
    Illinois Giannoulias vs. Kirk 42 43.7 - R+2 73% Toss Up
    Indiana Ellsworth vs. Coats 34.7 51.6 - R+17 95% Strong Rep
    Iowa Conlin vs. Grassley 32.4 59.1 - R+27 95% Strong Rep
    Kansas Johnston vs. Moran 27.3 65.6 - R+38 95% Strong Rep
    Kentucky Conway vs. Paul 42 50.8 - R+9 93% Lean Rep
    Louisiana Melancon vs. Vitter 38.3 50.1 9.2 R+12 94% Strong Rep
    Maryland Mikulski vs. Wargotz 56.4 36.2 - D+20 95% Strong Dem
    Missouri Carnahan vs. Blunt 41.9 51.1 - R+9 91% Lean Rep
    Nevada Reid vs. Angle 46 48.8 3.9 R+3 80% Lean Rep
    New Hampshire Hodes vs. Ayotte 39.2 53.4 - R+14 95% Strong Rep
    New York A Schumer vs. Townsend 61.4 33.4 - D+28 95% Strong Dem
    New York B Gillibrand vs. DioGuardi 56.4 35 - D+21 95% Strong Dem
    North Carolina Marshall vs. Burr 38.1 50.4 - R+12 93% Lean Rep
    North Dakota Potter vs. Hoeven 26.1 69 - R+43 95% Strong Rep
    Ohio Fisher vs. Portman 38.2 55.8 4.8 R+18 95% Strong Rep
    Oklahoma Rogers vs. Coburn 24.3 63.7 - R+39 95% Strong Rep
    Oregon Wyden vs. Huffman 54.7 37.7 - D+17 95% Strong Dem
    Pennsylvania Sestak vs. Toomey 44.7 48.7 - R+4 88% Lean Rep
    South Carolina Greene vs. DeMint 22.6 58.4 - R+36 95% Strong Rep
    Utah Granato vs. Lee 30 54 - R+24 95% Strong Rep
    Vermont Leahy vs. Britton 61.4 29.6 - D+32 95% Strong Dem
    Washington Murray vs. Rossi 48.6 47.9 - D+0.7 60% Toss Up
    West Virginia Manchin vs. Raese 49.4 46.1 - D+3 84% Lean Dem
    Wisconsin Feingold vs. Johnson 45.2 52.9 - R+8 89% Lean Rep

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